Oscar Predictions 2016 (UPDATED)

Last year I made a point to see all the Best Picture nominations and as a result, my Oscar predictions were incredibly accurate. However, this year, it’s really anyone’s race. I can honestly say, despite having seen most of the movies nominated, that I only feel confidant about a couple of these predictions and they will likely evolve and change as the evening progresses.

I am expecting and hoping that both Mad Max: Fury Road and The Revenant take home the most Oscars overall.


Update 3/1: In a shocking finale to the Oscars, Spotlight took Best Picture despite only winning one other award! As I said, I thought Spotlight deserved it, but wow! 

Winner: The Big Short or The Revenant

Who should win: Spotlight

Who I want to win: The Revenant

Possible upset: Room

I honestly DON’T KNOW who will win Best Picture. I wouldn’t really be shocked to see The Big Short, Room, Spotlight, The Revenant, Brooklyn, or even Mad Max take this category. I will likely start to develop an opinion based on how the other awards go. I do think we can count out The Martian and Bridge of Spies though.

BEST DIRECTOR – RESULT: Alejandro G. Inarritu

Winner: Alejandro G. Inarritu (The Revenant)

Who should win: Alejandro G. Inarritu

Who I want to win: Alejandro G. Inarritu

Possible upset: George Miller

This again, is anyone’s ball game, but I really do think Inarritu will get it even if The Revenant does not win Best Picture.

BEST ACTOR – RESULT: Leonardo DiCaprio

Winner: Leonardo DiCaprio (The Revenant)

Who should win: Leonardo DiCaprio

Who I want to win: Leonardo DiCaprio

Possible upset: Eddie Redmayne or Michael Fassbender

I do think this is finally Leo’s year and that HE DESERVES IT more than anyone in this category. But historically, he always gets snubbed and both Redmayne and Fassbender were quite good so they could easily upset. I didn’t see Cranston’s performance, but I don’t see Damon as a real contender in this category.


Winner: Brie Larson (Room)

Who should win: Brie Larson

Who I want to win: Undecided

Possible upset: Saoirse Ronan

This is one I feel very confident about. I think Brie Larson is the obvious winner here.


Winner: Alicia Vikander (The Danish Girl)

Who should win: Rachel McAdams

Who I want to win: Jennifer Jason Leigh

Most predictions have Vikander taking this one.


Update 3/1 – Wow, was this an upset! No one saw this coming! This was easily the weakest performance of the bunch (aside from Stallone, and not to say it was a bad performance). My guess is the vote was split and as a result, Rylance got it!

Winner: Sylvester Stallone (Creed)

Who should win: Christian Bale

Who I want to win: Tom Hardy

Possible upset: Mark Ruffalo

Stallone is going to win. He doesn’t deserve to win. His performance was just fine, but it’s not to the level of the other nominees. This is essentially going to be a lifetime achievement award for him.


Winner: The Big Short

Possible upset: Room


Winner: Spotlight


Winner: The Revenant

Possible upset: Mad Max: Fury Road


I think Mad Max: Fury Road will take the Costumes, Editing, Makeup, and Production awards.

RESULT: Mad Max did indeed take come all 4 of these awards PLUS the other sound award I thought might go to Revenant for a total of 6 oscars (the most given to any film) and in a surprise (but deserved) result, Ex Machina took home the Visual Effects award. I hadn’t seen Ex Machina when I wrote this blog post, but it was out last film a day before the Oscars and I really enjoyed it.

I think Revenant will clean up with all the sound and visual awards.

Score: Hateful Eight; Song: ‘Til It Happens To You”; Animated feature: Inside Out (duh); Documentary: Amy; and the shorts/foreign films—no clue as usual.

RESULT: Got 3 out of 4 of these with Sam Smith taking the Best Song Award.

Update 3/1: Overall, I was only shocked by two results and of my predictions were right 14/19. Not too shabby.

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